Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Perugia, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 June 2026, Monday


	Timofey Skatov		Vilius Gaubas

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.55	1.45
	2.73	1.49
	2.54	1.45	Watch
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.56	1.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.75)	1.46 ↑ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Timofey Skatov
36.1%

Vilius Gaubas
63.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

62.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Timofey Skatov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Vilius Gaubas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Timofey Skatov than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Timofey Skatov - Vilius Gaubas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Skatov is ranked ATP: 189. Gaubas is ranked ATP: 133.

Recent form of Skatov has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gaubas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gaubas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gaubas could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Vilius Gaubas - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 66.27%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Timofey Skatov
ATP Challenger
28.05.26	Radu Albot - Timofey Skatov	2:1 ✺
26.05.26	Laslo Djere - Timofey Skatov	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
19.05.26	Darwin Blanch - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
19.05.26	Elmer Moller - Timofey Skatov	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
12.05.26	Timofey Skatov - Henri Squire	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWL?L
- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Roland Garros
22.05.26	Vilius Gaubas - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	0:2 ✺
20.05.26	Vilius Gaubas - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:1 ✺
18.05.26	Vilius Gaubas - Federico Coria	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.05.26	Vilius Gaubas - Petr Brunclik	1:2 ✺
12.05.26	Vilius Gaubas - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWWLW

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