Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shymkent, clay - Final

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday


	Timofey Skatov		Sergey Fomin

	1	2
	1.21	4
	1.25	4.43
	1.19	4.52	Watch
	1.21	3.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.32)	4.22 ↑ (3.07)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Timofey Skatov
77.7%

Sergey Fomin
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.9%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.1%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Timofey Skatov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Timofey Skatov's performance.

Sergey Fomin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sergey Fomin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Timofey Skatov than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Timofey Skatov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sergey Fomin than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sergey Fomin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Timofey Skatov - Sergey Fomin Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Skatov will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Skatov is ranked ATP: 198. Fomin is ranked ATP: 359.

Now, both players are in good form.

Fomin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Skatov is a strong favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Sergey Fomin - the odds 3.07 are the expected chance of winning is 30.07%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Timofey Skatov
ATP Challenger
24.04.26	Timofey Skatov - Antoine Ghibaudo	2:0 ✺
23.04.26	Timofey Skatov - Daniil Ostapenkov	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Timofey Skatov - Svyatoslav Gulin	2:1 ✺
21.04.26	Timofey Skatov - Oleg Prihodko	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	Timofey Skatov - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWWL
- Sergey Fomin
ATP Challenger
24.04.26	Andrej Nedic - Sergey Fomin	1:2 ✺
23.04.26	Sergey Fomin - Max Wiskandt	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Sandro Kopp - Sergey Fomin	1:2 ✺
21.04.26	Sergey Fomin - Vladyslav Orlov	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Sergey Fomin - Fajing Sun	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWWWL

Timofey Skatov - Sergey Fomin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide