Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 3, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday


	Timofey Skatov		Luca Van Assche

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.55	1.46	Watch
	2.72	1.5
	2.63	1.43	Watch
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.5	1.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (2.98)	1.46 ↑ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Timofey Skatov
35.8%

Luca Van Assche
64.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

68.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

67.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Timofey Skatov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Luca Van Assche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Timofey Skatov than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Timofey Skatov - Luca Van Assche Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Van Assche will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Skatov is ranked ATP: 198. Van Assche is ranked ATP: 94.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Van Assche may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Van Assche is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Skatov won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Timofey Skatov
ATP Challenger
09.04.26	Timofey Skatov - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
07.04.26	Norbert Gombos - Timofey Skatov	0:2 ✺
ATP Marrakech
31.03.26	Timofey Skatov - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
30.03.26	Timofey Skatov - Moez Echargui	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Timofey Skatov	Pellegrino A. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLW?
- Luca Van Assche
ATP Challenger
10.04.26	Raphael Collignon - Luca Van Assche	2:0 ✺
08.04.26	Rei Sakamoto - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
07.04.26	Maks Kasnikowski - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
ATP Marrakech
03.04.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Luca Van Assche	2:1 ✺
02.04.26	Luca Van Assche - Tallon Griekspoor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
22.05.25	Timofey Skatov - Luca Van Assche	1:2

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