Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)


	Vilius Gaubas		Pablo Llamas Ruiz

	1	2
	3.25	1.33
	3.1	1.32
	3.43	1.36
	3.25	1.32	Watch
	3	1.36
	3.22	1.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (2.59)	1.34 ↓ (1.46)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilius Gaubas
29.5%

Pablo Llamas Ruiz
70.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

64%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

61.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilius Gaubas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vilius Gaubas's form might have worsened.

Pablo Llamas Ruiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pablo Llamas Ruiz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vilius Gaubas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Llamas Ruiz than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pablo Llamas Ruiz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.8%	0%	88.2%

Vilius Gaubas - Pablo Llamas Ruiz Predictions

Users Predictions: Pablo Llamas Ruiz will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gaubas is ranked ATP: 133. Llamas Ruiz is ranked ATP: 124.

Gaubas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Llamas Ruiz is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Llamas Ruiz could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Llamas Ruiz will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gaubas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Vilius Gaubas - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 36.05%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.26	Vilius Gaubas - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:1 ✺
18.05.26	Vilius Gaubas - Federico Coria	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.05.26	Vilius Gaubas - Petr Brunclik	1:2 ✺
12.05.26	Vilius Gaubas - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:1 ✺
ATP Roma
04.05.26	Leandro Riedi - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWLWL
- Pablo Llamas Ruiz
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.26	Ugo Blanchet - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	0:2 ✺
18.05.26	Nicolas Mejia - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
11.05.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Daniil Medvedev	1:2 ✺
09.05.26	Corentin Moutet - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	1:2 ✺
07.05.26	Ethan Quinn - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
22.05.25	Vilius Gaubas - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	1:2

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