Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Merida - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Tiphanie Lemaitre		Maria Lourdes Carle

	1	2
			Watch
	3.1	1.32	Watch
	4.91	1.16	Watch
	3.25	1.33
	2.99	1.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↑ (2.73)	1.29 ↓ (1.38)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tiphanie Lemaitre
26.5%

Maria Lourdes Carle
73.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

66.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

62.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tiphanie Lemaitre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tiphanie Lemaitre's form might have worsened.

Maria Lourdes Carle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maria Lourdes Carle's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tiphanie Lemaitre than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tiphanie Lemaitre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Lourdes Carle than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maria Lourdes Carle, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Tiphanie Lemaitre - Maria Lourdes Carle Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Carle (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4 Games - Carle (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Maria Lourdes Carle will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Carle (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Lemaitre is ranked WTA: 318. Carle is ranked WTA: 155.

Lemaitre is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Carle has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lemaitre may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tiphanie Lemaitre
ATP Challenger
15.02.26	Tiphanie Lemaitre - Diana Martynov	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.02.26	Tiphanie Lemaitre - Tyra Caterina Grant	0:2 ✺
04.02.26	Veronika Podrez - Tiphanie Lemaitre	2:0 ✺
30.01.26	Han Shi - Tiphanie Lemaitre	2:0 ✺
29.01.26	Tiphanie Lemaitre - Yaroslava Bartashevich	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLLW
- Maria Lourdes Carle
ITF Tournaments
05.02.26	Eryn Cayetano - Maria Lourdes Carle	2:1 ✺
03.02.26	Alicia Herrero Linana - Maria Lourdes Carle	1:2 ✺
28.01.26	Madison Brengle - Maria Lourdes Carle	2:0 ✺
WTA Australian Open
13.01.26	Maria Lourdes Carle - Yue Yuan	1:2 ✺
12.01.26	Polina Iatcenko - Maria Lourdes Carle	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLLW

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