Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Australian Open - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 13 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)


	Maria Lourdes Carle		Yue Yuan

	1	2
	3.75	1.25	Watch
	3.75	1.23	Watch
	3.98	1.23	Watch
	3.75	1.25
	4.13	1.24	Watch
	3.6	1.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↑ (2.75)	1.24 ↓ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria Lourdes Carle
24.4%

Yue Yuan
75.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

66.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Lourdes Carle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maria Lourdes Carle's form might have worsened.

Yue Yuan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yue Yuan's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Maria Lourdes Carle - Yue Yuan Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Carle will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Yuan will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Carle is ranked WTA: 158. Yuan is ranked WTA: 130.

Carle has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Yuan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Yuan is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Carle won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Lourdes Carle
WTA Australian Open
12.01.26	Polina Iatcenko - Maria Lourdes Carle	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.11.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	0:2 ✺
25.11.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Katarina Jokic	2:0 ✺
21.11.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Mayar Sherif	0:2 ✺
20.11.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Fernanda Labrana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWLW
- Yue Yuan
WTA Australian Open
12.01.26	Louisa Chirico - Yue Yuan	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.01.26	Yue Yuan - Polina Kudermetova	0:2 ✺
07.01.26	Yue Yuan - Tatiana Prozorova	2:0 ✺
04.01.26	Hanne Van De Winkel - Yue Yuan	0:2 ✺
WTA Jiujiang
28.10.25	Yue Yuan - Elena Pridankina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
29.10.22	Maria Lourdes Carle - Yue Yuan	0:2

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