Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Australian Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 January 2026, Monday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)


	Polina Iatcenko		Maria Lourdes Carle

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.42	2.78	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.43	2.88	Watch
	1.4	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.43)	2.79 ↑ (2.78)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polina Iatcenko
66.4%

Maria Lourdes Carle
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polina Iatcenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Maria Lourdes Carle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polina Iatcenko than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Lourdes Carle than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Polina Iatcenko - Maria Lourdes Carle Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Iatcenko will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Carle will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Iatcenko (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Iatcenko is ranked WTA: 163. Carle is ranked WTA: 148.

Iatcenko is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Carle has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Iatcenko may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Iatcenko will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polina Iatcenko
ATP Challenger
06.01.26	Polina Iatcenko - Joanna Garland	Iatcenko P. retired ✺
05.01.26	Polina Iatcenko - Destanee Aiava	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	Polina Iatcenko - Ena Shibahara	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	Polina Iatcenko - Sijia Wei	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.12.25	Mika Stojsavljevic - Polina Iatcenko	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 ?WWWL
- Maria Lourdes Carle
ATP Challenger
27.11.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	0:2 ✺
25.11.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Katarina Jokic	2:0 ✺
21.11.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Mayar Sherif	0:2 ✺
20.11.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Fernanda Labrana	2:0 ✺
18.11.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Alicia Herrero Linana	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLWW

Polina Iatcenko - Maria Lourdes Carle: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide