Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Burgas, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Burgas 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini		Giannicola Misasi

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Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
40.3%

Giannicola Misasi
59.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.8%

62.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Giannicola Misasi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giannicola Misasi than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

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Baragiola Mordini is ranked ATP: 1078., and Misasi is ranked ATP: 866..

Each of the two players is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Misasi could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Misasi is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
ITF Tournaments
06.10.26	Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini - Jannik Maute	Maute J. Retired ✺
21.09.26	Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini - Lorenzo Carboni	0:2 ✺
16.09.26	Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini - Alexander Weis	0:2 ✺
15.09.26	Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini - Gabriele Crivellaro	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Jan Kupcic - Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 ?LLWL
- Giannicola Misasi
ITF Tournaments
30.09.26	Stijn Paardekooper - Giannicola Misasi	2:1 ✺
28.09.26	Valentino Grippo - Giannicola Misasi	0:2 ✺
22.09.26	Giannicola Misasi - Gianmarco Ferrari	1:2 ✺
16.09.26	Max Hans Rehberg - Giannicola Misasi	2:0 ✺
15.09.26	Valerio Bracci - Giannicola Misasi	0:2
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 LWLLW

Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini - Giannicola Misasi