Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: CARY 2 (USA), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 13 September 2023, Wednesday


	Toby Samuel		Illya Marchenko

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.02	1.75
	2.13	1.74
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.13	1.66	Watch
	2	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.8)	1.72 ↓ (1.91)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toby Samuel
45.7%

Illya Marchenko
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toby Samuel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toby Samuel's form might have worsened.

Illya Marchenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Illya Marchenko's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toby Samuel than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toby Samuel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illya Marchenko than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Illya Marchenko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.7%	0%	73.3%

Toby Samuel - Illya Marchenko Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Samuel will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Marchenko will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marchenko: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Instantly two players are in a excellent shape.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toby Samuel
ATP Challenger
11.09.23	Brayden Schnur - Toby Samuel	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.08.23	Arthur Fery - Toby Samuel	2:0 ✺
19.08.23	Toby Samuel - Robin Bertrand	2:0 ✺
18.08.23	Millen Hurrion - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
17.08.23	Andrea Guerrieri - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWWW
- Illya Marchenko
ATP Challenger
11.09.23	Illya Marchenko - Enzo Couacaud	2:0 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
21.08.23	Illya Marchenko - Rinky Hijikata	1:2 ✺
20.08.23	Illya Marchenko - Omni Kumar	2:0 ✺
19.08.23	Illya Marchenko - Filippo Moroni	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.07.23	Matija Pecotic - Illya Marchenko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLWWW

Toby Samuel - Illya Marchenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide