Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos 5, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 October 2025, Tuesday


	Toby Samuel		Mees Rottgering

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
			Watch
	1.36	2.9	Watch
	1.38	3.12
	1.35	2.99	Watch
	1.52	2.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.52)	2.86 ↑ (2.3)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toby Samuel
67.2%

Mees Rottgering
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.8%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toby Samuel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Toby Samuel's performance.

Mees Rottgering has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mees Rottgering might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toby Samuel than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mees Rottgering than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	0%	15.4%

Toby Samuel - Mees Rottgering Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4.5 Games - Samuel (1.98) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Users Predictions: Toby Samuel will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Toby Samuel will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Samuel (votes: 10 - 90.9%). Rottgering (votes: 1 - 9.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Samuel is ranked ATP: 534. Rottgering is ranked ATP: 695.

Samuel is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Rottgering has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rottgering may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Samuel might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Samuel will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toby Samuel
ATP Challenger
06.10.25	Dali Blanch - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Nino Ehrenschneider - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.09.25	Toby Samuel - Liam Broady	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Toby Samuel - Karim Ibrahim	2:0 ✺
19.09.25	Ergi Kirkin - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWWW
- Mees Rottgering
ATP Challenger
01.10.25	Mees Rottgering - Mikhail Kukushkin	1:2 ✺
29.09.25	Alexis Galarneau - Mees Rottgering	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.09.25	George Loffhagen - Mees Rottgering	2:0 ✺
24.09.25	Alec Deckers - Mees Rottgering	1:2 ✺
23.09.25	Kenzo Koistila Larsson - Mees Rottgering	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWLWW

Toby Samuel - Mees Rottgering: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide