Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mouilleron-Le-Captif, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 October 2025, Wednesday


	Mees Rottgering		Mikhail Kukushkin

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
			Watch
	2.46	1.48	Watch
	2.84	1.44
	2.44	1.50	Watch
	2.51	1.49	Watch
	2.1	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.01)	1.52 ↓ (1.7)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mees Rottgering
38%

Mikhail Kukushkin
62%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mees Rottgering has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mees Rottgering's form might have worsened.

Mikhail Kukushkin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mikhail Kukushkin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mees Rottgering than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mees Rottgering, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mikhail Kukushkin than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mikhail Kukushkin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Mees Rottgering - Mikhail Kukushkin Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kukushkin (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Kukushkin (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Mikhail Kukushkin will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kukushkin (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rottgering is ranked ATP: 695. Kukushkin is ranked ATP: 294.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Rottgering may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Mikhail Kukushkin - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 54.18%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mees Rottgering
ATP Challenger
29.09.25	Alexis Galarneau - Mees Rottgering	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.09.25	George Loffhagen - Mees Rottgering	2:0 ✺
24.09.25	Alec Deckers - Mees Rottgering	1:2 ✺
23.09.25	Kenzo Koistila Larsson - Mees Rottgering	0:2 ✺
26.08.25	Mees Rottgering - Menelaos Efstathiou	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWWL
- Mikhail Kukushkin
ATP Challenger
29.09.25	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Mikhail Kukushkin	0:2 ✺
17.09.25	Mikhail Kukushkin - Tom Paris	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Mikhail Kukushkin	1:2 ✺
09.09.25	Mikhail Kukushkin - Enzo Couacaud	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
21.08.25	Billy Harris - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWLL

Mees Rottgering - Mikhail Kukushkin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide