Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sioux Falls, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sioux Falls 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Alexis Galarneau		Mees Rottgering

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.40	1.50	Watch
	2.65	1.45	Watch
	2.33	1.52	Watch
	2.40	1.50
	2.50	1.47	Watch
	2.42	1.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.72)	1.5 ↑ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexis Galarneau
38%

Mees Rottgering
62%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.8%

66.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

64.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexis Galarneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Mees Rottgering has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexis Galarneau than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mees Rottgering than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Alexis Galarneau - Mees Rottgering Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Galarneau is ranked ATP: 182., and Rottgering is ranked ATP: 331..

Recent results have been tough for Galarneau (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Rottgering has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Galarneau could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Rottgering holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Galarneau has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexis Galarneau
ATP Shanghai
05.10.26	Roman Safiullin - Alexis Galarneau	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.09.26	Lloyd Harris - Alexis Galarneau	2:0 ✺
ATP Chengdu
23.09.26	Lloyd Harris - Alexis Galarneau	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Elias Ymer - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.09.26	Fajing Sun - Alexis Galarneau	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL
- Mees Rottgering
ATP Challenger
23.10.26	Mees Rottgering - Darwin Blanch	0:2 ✺
21.10.26	Mees Rottgering - Cosme Rolland de Ravel	2:0 ✺
19.10.26	Max Hans Rehberg - Mees Rottgering	0:2 ✺
02.10.26	Mees Rottgering - Andres Andrade	0:2 ✺
30.09.26	Braden Shick - Mees Rottgering	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
29.09.25	Alexis Galarneau - Mees Rottgering	1:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mees Rottgering
ATP Challenger
30.10.26	Mees Rottgering - Aidan Mayo	✺

Alexis Galarneau - Mees Rottgering