Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Manama 2, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday


	Toby Samuel		Sergey Fomin

	1	2
	1.18	4.5	Watch
	1.17	4.5
	1.2	4.87
	1.15	4.70	Watch
	1.17	4.44	Watch
	1.22	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.18 ↓ (1.38)	4.5 ↑ (2.8)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toby Samuel
79.2%

Sergey Fomin
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.1%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toby Samuel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Toby Samuel's performance.

Sergey Fomin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sergey Fomin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toby Samuel than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Toby Samuel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sergey Fomin than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sergey Fomin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Toby Samuel - Sergey Fomin Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Samuel will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Fomin will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Samuel is ranked ATP: 329. Fomin is ranked ATP: 358.

Samuel is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Fomin is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Samuel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Samuel is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toby Samuel
ATP Challenger
27.11.25	Toby Samuel - Semen Pankin	2:0 ✺
26.11.25	Kimmer Coppejans - Toby Samuel	Canceled ✺
23.11.25	Jay Clarke - Toby Samuel	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	Charlie Robertson - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
21.11.25	Alexandr Binda - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 W?WWW
- Sergey Fomin
ATP Challenger
27.11.25	Maximilian Homberg - Sergey Fomin	0:2 ✺
24.11.25	Dali Blanch - Sergey Fomin	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.11.25	Sergey Fomin - Olaf Pieczkowski	2:1 ✺
15.11.25	Maximilian Homberg - Sergey Fomin	0:2 ✺
14.11.25	Sergey Fomin - Nino Ehrenschneider	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWWW

Toby Samuel - Sergey Fomin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide