Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Bastad, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 16 May 2025, Friday


	Tom Gentzsch		Adrian Oetzbach

	1	2
	1.3	3.1
	1.34	3.17
	1.38	2.92	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.39	2.81	Watch
	1.4	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.5)	2.92 ↑ (2.5)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tom Gentzsch
68.1%

Adrian Oetzbach
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tom Gentzsch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tom Gentzsch's performance.

Adrian Oetzbach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Adrian Oetzbach might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tom Gentzsch than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tom Gentzsch that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adrian Oetzbach than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Adrian Oetzbach could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Gentzsch is ranked ATP: 465. Oetzbach is ranked ATP: 698.

Gentzsch has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Oetzbach is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Gentzsch may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gentzsch will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tom Gentzsch
ITF Tournaments
15.05.25	Tom Gentzsch - Jack Karlsson Wistrand	2:0 ✺
14.05.25	Tom Gentzsch - Lukas Hellum Lilleengen	2:0 ✺
07.05.25	David Jorda Sanchis - Tom Gentzsch	2:1 ✺
23.04.25	Tom Gentzsch - Kilian Feldbausch	1:2 ✺
18.04.25	Oleksii Krutykh - Tom Gentzsch	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WWLLL
- Adrian Oetzbach
ITF Tournaments
15.05.25	Brian Bozemoj - Adrian Oetzbach	0:2 ✺
14.05.25	Saba George Nanobashvili - Adrian Oetzbach	0:2 ✺
04.05.25	Adrian Oetzbach - Denis Klok	0:2 ✺
03.05.25	Sergey Fomin - Adrian Oetzbach	1:2 ✺
02.05.25	Adrian Oetzbach - Kai Wehnelt	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWLWW

Tom Gentzsch - Adrian Oetzbach: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide