Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Genova, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 September 2025, Friday


	Tom Gentzsch		Kilian Feldbausch

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.18	1.6	Watch
	2.23	1.58	Watch
	2.38	1.62
	2.26	1.58	Watch
			Watch
	2.25	1.6	Watch
	2.69	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.69)	1.59 ↑ (1.46)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tom Gentzsch
40.8%

Kilian Feldbausch
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

64.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

66.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tom Gentzsch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tom Gentzsch's performance.

Kilian Feldbausch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kilian Feldbausch might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tom Gentzsch than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tom Gentzsch that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kilian Feldbausch than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kilian Feldbausch could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Tom Gentzsch - Kilian Feldbausch Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Gentzsch will win (votes: 24 - 85.7%). Feldbausch will win (votes: 4 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gentzsch: 72.7% – 98.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -3 Games - Feldbausch (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Set - Feldbausch (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 Games, 1st Set - Feldbausch (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tom Gentzsch will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Gentzsch (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Feldbausch (votes: 5 - 27.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gentzsch is ranked ATP: 370. Feldbausch is ranked ATP: 398.

Gentzsch is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Feldbausch has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Feldbausch may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Feldbausch might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gentzsch won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Kilian Feldbausch - the odds 1.46 are the expected chance of winning is 64.82%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tom Gentzsch
ATP Challenger
03.09.25	Tom Gentzsch - Francesco Forti	2:0 ✺
02.09.25	Gabriele Pennaforti - Tom Gentzsch	0:2 ✺
01.09.25	Tom Gentzsch - Federico Bondioli	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Tom Gentzsch - Gregoire Jacq	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.08.25	Max Houkes - Tom Gentzsch	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWWW
- Kilian Feldbausch
ATP Challenger
03.09.25	Kilian Feldbausch - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0 ✺
01.09.25	Kilian Feldbausch - Lorenzo Carboni	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Kilian Feldbausch - Augusto Virgili	Canceled
26.08.25	Raul Brancaccio - Kilian Feldbausch	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.08.25	Kilian Feldbausch - Remy Bertola	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WW?LL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
23.04.25	Tom Gentzsch - Kilian Feldbausch	1:2

Tom Gentzsch - Kilian Feldbausch: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide