Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Quimper - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 26 January 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Quimper 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Christoph Negritu		Pavel Kotov

	1	2
			Watch
	2.7	1.4
	2.91	1.42
	2.53	1.47	Watch
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.66	1.42	Watch
	2.6	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.2)	1.43 ↓ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Christoph Negritu
34.9%

Pavel Kotov
65.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.1%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Christoph Negritu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Christoph Negritu's form might have worsened.

Pavel Kotov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pavel Kotov's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Christoph Negritu - Pavel Kotov Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Negritu will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Kotov will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kotov (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Negritu is ranked ATP: 365. Kotov is ranked ATP: 485.

Recent form of Negritu has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Negritu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kotov is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Christoph Negritu - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.11%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Pavel Kotov - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 57.89%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Christoph Negritu
ATP Challenger
18.01.26	Christoph Negritu - Tyler Zink	1:2 ✺
12.01.26	Charles Broom - Christoph Negritu	2:1 ✺
07.01.26	Christoph Negritu - Mikhail Kukushkin	0:2 ✺
06.01.26	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Christoph Negritu	1:2 ✺
27.11.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Christoph Negritu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLWL
- Pavel Kotov
ATP Challenger
14.10.25	Pavel Kotov - Jie Cui	1:2 ✺
13.10.25	Pavel Kotov - Tianhui Zhang	2:0 ✺
09.10.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Pavel Kotov	2:0 ✺
08.10.25	Pavel Kotov - August Holmgren	2:0 ✺
06.10.25	Akira Santillan - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLWW

Christoph Negritu - Pavel Kotov