Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Koblenz, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 February 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Koblenz 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Michael Geerts		Christoph Negritu

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
			Watch
	1.75	1.95	Watch
	1.72	2.2
	1.68	2.06	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.68	2.06	Watch
	1.75	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.57)	2.04 ↓ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Geerts
54.2%

Christoph Negritu
45.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.8%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Geerts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Christoph Negritu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Geerts than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christoph Negritu than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Michael Geerts - Christoph Negritu Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Geerts will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Negritu will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Geerts (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Geerts is ranked ATP: 293. Negritu is ranked ATP: 365.

Recent performances by Geerts have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Negritu has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Geerts may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Geerts is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Christoph Negritu - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.19%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Geerts
ATP Challenger
27.01.26	Roberto Carballes Baena - Michael Geerts	2:0 ✺
22.01.26	Michael Geerts - Lloyd Harris	1:2 ✺
20.01.26	Michael Geerts - Matteo Martineau	2:0 ✺
07.01.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Michael Geerts	2:0 ✺
06.01.26	Alexis Gautier - Michael Geerts	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLWLW
- Christoph Negritu
ATP Challenger
26.01.26	Christoph Negritu - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
18.01.26	Christoph Negritu - Tyler Zink	1:2 ✺
12.01.26	Charles Broom - Christoph Negritu	2:1 ✺
07.01.26	Christoph Negritu - Mikhail Kukushkin	0:2 ✺
06.01.26	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Christoph Negritu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLLW

Michael Geerts - Christoph Negritu