Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday


	Tom Gentzsch		Jacopo Berrettini

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.5	2.43
	1.56	2.48
	1.45	2.55	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.47	2.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.59)	2.43 ↑ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tom Gentzsch
61.6%

Jacopo Berrettini
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tom Gentzsch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Jacopo Berrettini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tom Gentzsch than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tom Gentzsch that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacopo Berrettini than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jacopo Berrettini could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Tom Gentzsch - Jacopo Berrettini Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gentzsch (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Tom Gentzsch will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gentzsch is ranked ATP: 246. Berrettini is ranked ATP: 302.

In recent matches, Gentzsch has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Berrettini's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gentzsch may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Tom Gentzsch - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 57.94%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tom Gentzsch
ATP Challenger
03.03.26	Maximus Jones - Tom Gentzsch	Canceled ✺
23.02.26	Tom Gentzsch - Timofey Skatov	0:2 ✺
13.02.26	Tom Gentzsch - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
12.02.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Tom Gentzsch	0:2 ✺
11.02.26	Tom Gentzsch - Benjamin Willwerth	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 ?LLWW
- Jacopo Berrettini
ATP Challenger
02.03.26	Alex Rybakov - Jacopo Berrettini	2:1 ✺
24.02.26	Mark Lajal - Jacopo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Jacopo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
09.02.26	Jacopo Berrettini - Jacopo Vasami	2:0 ✺
02.02.26	Jacopo Berrettini - Abedallah Shelbayh	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLWL

Tom Gentzsch - Jacopo Berrettini: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide