Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lugano, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 February 2026, Monday


	Tom Gentzsch		Timofey Skatov

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.96	1.76	Watch
	3.35	1.29	Watch
	2	1.73
	1.9	1.78	Watch
	2.25	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.23)	1.64 ↑ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tom Gentzsch
42.3%

Timofey Skatov
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

63.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tom Gentzsch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Timofey Skatov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tom Gentzsch than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tom Gentzsch that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Timofey Skatov than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Timofey Skatov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Tom Gentzsch - Timofey Skatov Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Gentzsch will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Skatov will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tom Gentzsch will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Gentzsch is ranked ATP: 245. Skatov is ranked ATP: 195.

Recent performances by Gentzsch have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Skatov's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Skatov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Skatov will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Timofey Skatov - the odds 1.58 are the expected chance of winning is 58.58%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tom Gentzsch
ATP Challenger
13.02.26	Tom Gentzsch - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
12.02.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Tom Gentzsch	0:2 ✺
11.02.26	Tom Gentzsch - Benjamin Willwerth	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Pavel Kotov - Tom Gentzsch	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Tom Gentzsch - Christoph Negritu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWWLW
- Timofey Skatov
ATP Challenger
18.02.26	Timofey Skatov - Titouan Droguet	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Timofey Skatov - Calvin Hemery	2:0 ✺
10.02.26	Arthur Bouquier - Timofey Skatov	2:1 ✺
21.01.26	Lilian Marmousez - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
19.01.26	Marat Sharipov - Timofey Skatov	Sharipov M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLL?

Tom Gentzsch - Timofey Skatov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide