Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bunschoten, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday


	Tom Gentzsch		Jan Kumstat

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.10	Watch
	1.65	2.18	Watch
	1.61	2.45
	1.55	2.32	Watch
	1.58	2.4	Watch
	1.64	2.14	Watch
	1.55	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.72)	2.26 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tom Gentzsch
58.4%

Jan Kumstat
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tom Gentzsch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Jan Kumstat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tom Gentzsch than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tom Gentzsch that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Kumstat than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jan Kumstat could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Tom Gentzsch - Jan Kumstat Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gentzsch (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gentzsch is ranked ATP: 212. Kumstat is ranked ATP: 612.

Gentzsch has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kumstat is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Gentzsch may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Tom Gentzsch - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 53.89%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tom Gentzsch
ATP Challenger
17.07.26	Tom Gentzsch - Max Houkes	2:1 ✺
15.07.26	Tom Gentzsch - Pieter De Lange	2:0 ✺
14.07.26	Tom Gentzsch - Mika Petkovic	2:0 ✺
07.07.26	Daniel Rincon - Tom Gentzsch	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.26	Max Basing - Tom Gentzsch	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWLL
- Jan Kumstat
ATP Challenger
17.07.26	Jan Kumstat - Thijs Boogaard	2:0 ✺
16.07.26	Jan Kumstat - Florian Broska	2:1 ✺
14.07.26	Henri Squire - Jan Kumstat	0:2 ✺
13.07.26	Mateus Alves - Jan Kumstat	0:2 ✺
12.07.26	Leo Raquillet - Jan Kumstat	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWWWW

Tom Gentzsch - Jan Kumstat: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide