Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bunschoten - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 13 July 2026, Monday


	Mateus Alves		Jan Kumstat

	1	2
			Watch
	1.78	1.90
	1.7	2	Watch
	1.83	1.99
	1.76	1.95	Watch
	1.8	1.94
	1.73	1.97	Watch
	1.7	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.63)	1.96 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mateus Alves
52.8%

Jan Kumstat
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mateus Alves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Jan Kumstat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mateus Alves than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Kumstat than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Mateus Alves - Jan Kumstat Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Alves will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Kumstat will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alves is ranked ATP: 456. Kumstat is ranked ATP: 611.

Alves is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Kumstat's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mateus Alves
ATP Challenger
12.07.26	Mateus Alves - Fons Van Sambeek	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.06.26	Mateus Alves - Nick Hardt	1:2 ✺
04.06.26	Mateus Alves - Livas Eduardo De Carvalho Damazio	2:0 ✺
02.06.26	Mateus Alves - Nicolas Villalon	2:0 ✺
24.05.26	Mateus Alves - Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWWW
- Jan Kumstat
ATP Challenger
12.07.26	Leo Raquillet - Jan Kumstat	0:2 ✺
28.06.26	Jan Kumstat - Pavel Lagutin	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.06.26	Jan Kumstat - Duje Markovina	1:2 ✺
18.06.26	Kai Wehnelt - Jan Kumstat	2:0 ✺
17.06.26	Jan Kumstat - Corentin Denolly	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLLW

Mateus Alves - Jan Kumstat: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide