Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Bastad, clay - Final

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday


	Tom Gentzsch		Karl Poling

	1	2
	1.34	2.9
	1.35	3.11
	1.39	2.91	Watch
	1.36	3
	1.37	2.89	Watch
	1.57	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.57)	2.84 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tom Gentzsch
67.1%

Karl Poling
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tom Gentzsch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tom Gentzsch's performance.

Karl Poling has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Karl Poling might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tom Gentzsch than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tom Gentzsch that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karl Poling than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karl Poling could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tom Gentzsch - Karl Poling Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gentzsch is ranked ATP: 465. Poling is ranked ATP: 588.

Now, both players are in good form.

Poling may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gentzsch is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tom Gentzsch
ITF Tournaments
17.05.25	Tom Gentzsch - Axel Garcian	2:0 ✺
16.05.25	Tom Gentzsch - Adrian Oetzbach	2:0 ✺
15.05.25	Tom Gentzsch - Jack Karlsson Wistrand	2:0 ✺
14.05.25	Tom Gentzsch - Lukas Hellum Lilleengen	2:0 ✺
07.05.25	David Jorda Sanchis - Tom Gentzsch	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWWL
- Karl Poling
ITF Tournaments
17.05.25	Karl Poling - Alexandre Aubriot	2:0 ✺
16.05.25	Sebastian Grundtvig Jorgensen - Karl Poling	0:2 ✺
15.05.25	Manel Lazaro Juncadella - Karl Poling	0:2 ✺
24.04.25	Preston Brown - Karl Poling	2:0 ✺
23.04.25	Nathan Ponwith - Karl Poling	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWLW

Tom Gentzsch - Karl Poling: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide