Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: St. Tropez - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 15 September 2025, Monday


	Tom Paris		Maxime Janvier

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	1.95
	1.70	2.00	Watch
	1.74	2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.64)	1.98 ↓ (2.06)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tom Paris
53.6%

Maxime Janvier
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tom Paris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Maxime Janvier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tom Paris than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maxime Janvier than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Tom Paris - Maxime Janvier Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 Games - Paris (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Paris (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Paris is ranked ATP: 302. Janvier is ranked ATP: 565.

Paris has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Janvier is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Janvier may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Tom Paris - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 55.68%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Maxime Janvier - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 44.32%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tom Paris
ATP Challenger
14.09.25	Tom Paris - Robin Catry	2:1 ✺
08.09.25	Tom Paris - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	0:2 ✺
04.09.25	Tom Paris - Mark Lajal	0:2 ✺
03.09.25	Tom Paris - Olle Wallin	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.08.25	Tom Paris - Andrew Fenty	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLWW
- Maxime Janvier
ATP Challenger
14.09.25	Maxime Janvier - Stuart Parker	2:0 ✺
10.09.25	Clement Chidekh - Maxime Janvier	2:1 ✺
09.09.25	Maxime Janvier - Calvin Hemery	Canceled ✺
09.09.25	Maxime Janvier - Egor Gerasimov	2:0 ✺
08.09.25	Maxime Janvier - Adrien Gobat	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WL?WW

Tom Paris - Maxime Janvier: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide