Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Vienna (Austria), hard (indoor) - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 October 2024, Friday


	Tomas Machac		Jack Draper

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.7
	2.17	1.67	Watch
	2.25	1.72
	2.22	1.72	Watch
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.17	1.7	Watch
	2.17	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.06)	1.69 ↓ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tomas Machac
43.6%

Jack Draper
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

54.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomas Machac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Jack Draper has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jack Draper than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.1%	0%	61.9%

Tomas Machac - Jack Draper Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Machac will win (votes: 8 - 38.1%). Draper will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Draper: 41.1% – 82.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Machac is ranked ATP: 27. Draper is ranked ATP: 18.

Recent matches Machac is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Draper is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Draper could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Draper to win the game is with odds 1.71.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Machac won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tomas Machac
ATP Vienna
24.10.24	Grigor Dimitrov - Tomas Machac	1:2 ✺
23.10.24	Tomas Machac - Fabian Marozsan	2:0 ✺
ATP Almaty
17.10.24	Beibit Zhukayev - Tomas Machac	Machac T. retired ✺
16.10.24	Timofey Skatov - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
12.10.24	Jannik Sinner - Tomas Machac	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WW?WL
- Jack Draper
ATP Vienna
24.10.24	Luciano Darderi - Jack Draper	0:2 ✺
22.10.24	Kei Nishikori - Jack Draper	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
29.09.24	Ugo Humbert - Jack Draper	Draper J. retired ✺
26.09.24	Jack Draper - Hubert Hurkacz	2:0 ✺
25.09.24	Jack Draper - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WW?WW

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
02.09.24	Jack Draper - Tomas Machac	3:0
ATP Geneva
21.05.24	Tomas Machac - Jack Draper	2:0
ATP Challenger
01.10.23	Tomas Machac - Jack Draper	2:1
02.11.21	Tomas Machac - Jack Draper	2:1

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