Match Info

Date: 20 November 2020, Friday


	Tomas Machac		Ilya Ivashka

	1	2
	2.37	1.53	Watch
	2.35	1.53
	2.35	1.57	Watch
	2.28	1.53
	2.44	1.57
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.5	1.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.18)	1.55 ↓ (1.63)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tomas Machac
39.6%

Ilya Ivashka
60.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomas Machac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Ilya Ivashka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilya Ivashka than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Tomas Machac - Ilya Ivashka Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Machac will win (votes: 20 - 57.1%). Ivashka will win (votes: 15 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machac: 40.7% – 73.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players has got a chain of failures in the last matches.

Ivashka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Machac will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ivashka won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tomas Machac
ATP Challenger
19.11.20	Martin Klizan - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
18.11.20	Luca Nardi - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
15.11.20	Tomas Machac - Maximilian Marterer	1:2 ✺
14.11.20	Lukas Klein - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
13.11.20	Tomas Machac - Matteo Viola	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWW
- Ilya Ivashka
ATP Challenger
19.11.20	Johannes Haerteis - Ilya Ivashka	0:2 ✺
17.11.20	Matteo Viola - Ilya Ivashka	0:2 ✺
07.11.20	Ilya Ivashka - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
06.11.20	Marc-Andrea Huesler - Ilya Ivashka	0:2 ✺
05.11.20	Jurij Rodionov - Ilya Ivashka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
17.08.20	Tomas Machac - Ilya Ivashka	2:0
30.10.19	Tomas Machac - Ilya Ivashka	0:2

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