Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open (USA), hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 29 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Louis Armstrong Stadium (New York, NY)


	Tomas Machac		Sebastian Korda

	1	2
	3.4	1.33	Watch
	3.7	1.26
	3.45	1.32	Watch
	3.64	1.33
	3.64	1.32	Watch
	3.3	1.33
	3.51	1.31	Watch
	3.45	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (2.65)	1.32 ↓ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tomas Machac
27.2%

Sebastian Korda
72.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

63.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

62.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomas Machac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tomas Machac's form might have worsened.

Sebastian Korda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sebastian Korda's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tomas Machac, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Korda than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sebastian Korda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.1%	0%	78.9%

Tomas Machac - Sebastian Korda Predictions

Users Predictions: Sebastian Korda will win (15 of 19 users predict this - 78.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 60.62% – 97.28%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Machac is ranked ATP: 39. Korda is ranked ATP: 16.

Both players are now playing unstable.

In this match Korda is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Machac won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tomas Machac
ATP US Open
27.08.24	Fabio Fognini - Tomas Machac	0:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
14.08.24	Max Purcell - Tomas Machac	2:0 ✺
ATP Montreal
07.08.24	Alexei Popyrin - Tomas Machac	2:0 ✺
ATP Olympic Games
30.07.24	Alexander Zverev - Tomas Machac	2:0 ✺
28.07.24	Tomas Machac - Zhizhen Zhang	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLLW
- Sebastian Korda
ATP US Open
27.08.24	Corentin Moutet - Sebastian Korda	0:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
14.08.24	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Sebastian Korda	2:0 ✺
ATP Montreal
11.08.24	Alexei Popyrin - Sebastian Korda	2:0 ✺
11.08.24	Sebastian Korda - Alexander Zverev	2:1 ✺
10.08.24	Casper Ruud - Sebastian Korda	Korda S. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLLW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
02.11.20	Sebastian Korda - Tomas Machac	2:0

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