Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 3, hard - Final

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Monastir 3 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Tomasz Berkieta		Petr Nesterov

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Tomasz Berkieta
38.1%

Petr Nesterov
61.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomasz Berkieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tomasz Berkieta's form might have worsened.

Petr Nesterov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Petr Nesterov's recent form is better than expected.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Berkieta (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21.5 Games - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Berkieta is ranked ATP: 559. Nesterov is ranked ATP: 523.

Nesterov is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Berkieta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Nesterov will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Petr Nesterov - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tomasz Berkieta
ITF Tournaments
31.01.26	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Tomasz Berkieta	0:2 ✺
30.01.26	Tomasz Berkieta - Sergi Perez Contri	2:1 ✺
29.01.26	Tomasz Berkieta - Yassine Smiej	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.11.25	Tomasz Berkieta - Dominik Kellovsky	0:2 ✺
25.11.25	Tomasz Berkieta - Jelle Sels	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWL?
- Petr Nesterov
ITF Tournaments
31.01.26	Petr Nesterov - Egor Agafonov	2:0 ✺
30.01.26	Alaa Trifi - Petr Nesterov	0:2 ✺
28.01.26	Adam Nagoudi - Petr Nesterov	0:2 ✺
22.01.26	Keisuke Saitoh - Petr Nesterov	2:1 ✺
28.12.25	Petr Nesterov - Manas Manoj Dhamne	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWLW

Tomasz Berkieta - Petr Nesterov