Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 WARMBAD VILLACH (AUSTRIA), CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 26 May 2023, Friday


	Tommaso Compagnucci		Alex Barrena

	1	2
	2.25	1.55
	2.15	1.62
	2.38	1.56
	2.38	1.53
	2.34	1.53	Watch
	2.23	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (1.85)	1.56 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tommaso Compagnucci
40.6%

Alex Barrena
59.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tommaso Compagnucci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tommaso Compagnucci's form might have worsened.

Alex Barrena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alex Barrena's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tommaso Compagnucci than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tommaso Compagnucci, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Barrena than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alex Barrena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Compagnucci is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Barrena is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Barrena could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tommaso Compagnucci
ITF Tournaments
25.05.23	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Tommaso Compagnucci	0:2 ✺
22.05.23	Christoph Negritu - Tommaso Compagnucci	0:2 ✺
05.05.23	Tommaso Compagnucci - Sebastian Fanselow	0:2 ✺
04.05.23	Michael Geerts - Tommaso Compagnucci	0:2 ✺
03.05.23	Tommaso Compagnucci - Stefanos Sakellaridis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWLWW
- Alex Barrena
ITF Tournaments
24.05.23	Zura Tkemaladze - Alex Barrena	Tkemaladze Z. retired ✺
22.05.23	Alec Deckers - Alex Barrena	0:2 ✺
18.05.23	Giovanni Oradini - Alex Barrena	2:0 ✺
17.05.23	Alex Barrena - Luca Potenza	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.05.23	Alex Barrena - Andrea Arnaboldi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 ?WLWL

Tommaso Compagnucci - Alex Barrena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide