Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sion, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 August 2026, Tuesday


	Facundo Mena		Juan Manuel La Serna

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	2.00
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.75	2.09
	1.7	2.02	Watch
	1.75	2.05
	1.7	2.01	Watch
	1.7	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2)	2.02 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Facundo Mena
54%

Juan Manuel La Serna
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Facundo Mena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Facundo Mena's performance.

Juan Manuel La Serna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juan Manuel La Serna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Facundo Mena than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Manuel La Serna than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Facundo Mena - Juan Manuel La Serna Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Mena will win (votes: 3 - 60%). La Serna will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

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Preview

Mena is ranked ATP: 344. La Serna is ranked ATP: 288.

Both players are struggling and far from their best.

La Serna may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mena won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Juan Manuel La Serna - the odds 1.71 are the expected chance of winning is 54%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Facundo Mena
ATP Challenger
11.08.26	Facundo Mena - Thomas Faurel	0:2 ✺
03.08.26	Tomasz Berkieta - Facundo Mena	2:0 ✺
21.07.26	Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Facundo Mena	2:0 ✺
10.07.26	Facundo Mena - Lorenzo Claverie	0:2 ✺
09.07.26	Facundo Mena - Tristan McCormick	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLW
- Juan Manuel La Serna
ATP Challenger
02.07.26	Juan Manuel La Serna - Ignacio Monzon	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Juan Manuel La Serna - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	2:1 ✺
27.06.26	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Juan Manuel La Serna	2:0 ✺
26.06.26	Nick Hardt - Juan Manuel La Serna	Hardt N. Retired ✺
26.06.26	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Juan Manuel La Serna	Rodriguez Taverna S. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWL??

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
09.11.25	Juan Manuel La Serna - Facundo Mena	Canceled

Facundo Mena - Juan Manuel La Serna: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide