Match Info

Date: 12 January 2022, Wednesday


	Tommy Paul		Marin Cilic

	1	2
	2.1	1.72
	2.15	1.67	Watch
	2.06	1.76
	2.1	1.68
	2.27	1.7
	2.1	1.72
	2.24	1.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.16)	1.71 ↓ (1.74)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tommy Paul
44.3%

Marin Cilic
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

54.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tommy Paul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Marin Cilic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marin Cilic than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.4%	0%	47.6%

Tommy Paul - Marin Cilic Predictions

Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Paul will win (votes: 22 - 52.4%). Cilic will win (votes: 20 - 47.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paul: 37.3% – 67.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Paul is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Cilic is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Paul could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Paul won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tommy Paul
ATP Adelaide 2
11.01.22	Tommy Paul - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0 ✺
09.01.22	Francis Tiafoe - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
ATP Adelaide
06.01.22	Gael Monfils - Tommy Paul	2:0 ✺
05.01.22	Taro Daniel - Tommy Paul	1:2 ✺
04.01.22	Jiri Vesely - Tommy Paul	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLWW
- Marin Cilic
ATP Adelaide 2
11.01.22	Jaume Munar - Marin Cilic	0:2 ✺
ATP Adelaide
07.01.22	Marin Cilic - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
06.01.22	Laslo Djere - Marin Cilic	0:2 ✺
05.01.22	Thiago Monteiro - Marin Cilic	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
05.12.21	Daniil Medvedev - Marin Cilic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Moscow
20.10.21	Tommy Paul - Marin Cilic	0:2

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