Match Info

Date: 6 October 2022, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Finland	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 1


	Marin Cilic		Karen Khachanov

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.95	1.83
	2.04	1.79
	1.98	1.77
	2.08	1.84
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	1.98	1.83	Watch
	2.02	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.93)	1.8 ↓ (1.82)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marin Cilic
47.1%

Karen Khachanov
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marin Cilic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Karen Khachanov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marin Cilic than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19.6%	0%	80.4%

Marin Cilic - Karen Khachanov Predictions

Users Predictions: Karen Khachanov will win (45 of 56 users predict this - 80.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.95% – 90.77%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Cilic is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Khachanov is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Cilic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cilic won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marin Cilic
ATP Astana
05.10.22	Marin Cilic - Oscar Otte	2:1 ✺
ATP Tel Aviv
02.10.22	Novak Djokovic - Marin Cilic	2:0 ✺
01.10.22	Constant Lestienne - Marin Cilic	0:2 ✺
30.09.22	Liam Broady - Marin Cilic	Cilic M. walkover ✺
28.09.22	Dominic Thiem - Marin Cilic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLW?W
- Karen Khachanov
ATP Astana
04.10.22	Maxime Cressy - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
09.09.22	Karen Khachanov - Casper Ruud	1:3 ✺
06.09.22	Nick Kyrgios - Karen Khachanov	2:3 ✺
04.09.22	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Karen Khachanov	2:3 ✺
02.09.22	Karen Khachanov - Jack Draper	Draper J. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WLWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Montreal
10.08.22	Marin Cilic - Karen Khachanov	2:0
ATP Doha
17.02.22	Karen Khachanov - Marin Cilic	2:1
ATP Adelaide
07.01.22	Marin Cilic - Karen Khachanov	0:2
ATP St Petersburg
28.10.21	Marin Cilic - Karen Khachanov	2:1
ATP Cincinnati
17.08.18	Karen Khachanov - Marin Cilic	1:2

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