Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 8, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday


	Toufik Sahtali		Michele Mecarelli

	1	2
	2.16	1.71
	1.47	2.42	Watch
	2.05	1.67
	2.15	1.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.84)	1.86 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toufik Sahtali
48.7%

Michele Mecarelli
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

54.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toufik Sahtali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Michele Mecarelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toufik Sahtali than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michele Mecarelli than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Toufik Sahtali - Michele Mecarelli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sahtali is ranked ATP: 706. Mecarelli is ranked ATP: 1267.

In recent matches, Sahtali has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mecarelli is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Sahtali may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mecarelli is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Mecarelli will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Toufik Sahtali - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toufik Sahtali
ITF Tournaments
04.03.26	Toufik Sahtali - Nikolai Barsukov	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Andrea de Marchi - Toufik Sahtali	2:0 ✺
27.02.26	Toufik Sahtali - Luca Castagnola	2:1 ✺
26.02.26	Toufik Sahtali - Liam Branger	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Reda Bennani - Toufik Sahtali	Bennani R. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLWW?
- Michele Mecarelli
ITF Tournaments
04.03.26	Michele Mecarelli - Thiago Agustin Pernas	2:1 ✺
26.02.26	Michele Mecarelli - Nikolai Barsukov	0:2 ✺
25.02.26	Dimitris Sakellaridis - Michele Mecarelli	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.02.26	Michele Mecarelli - Federico Iannaccone	Mecarelli M. retired ✺
02.02.26	Michele Mecarelli - Josip Simundza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLW?W

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