Match Info
ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 7, hard - Quarter-finalsDate: 27 February 2026, Friday
|
 |
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 |
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Toufik Sahtali |
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Luca Castagnola |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.12 |
|
1.74 |
|
 |
1.97 |
|
1.73 |
 Watch |
 |
2.05 |
|
1.67 |
|
 |
2.01 |
|
1.7 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↑
(1.73) |
|
1.71 ↓
(1.94) |
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- The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Toufik Sahtali
45.6% | Luca Castagnola
54.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toufik Sahtali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toufik Sahtali's form might have worsened.Luca Castagnola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luca Castagnola's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toufik Sahtali than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (+1%)Toufik Sahtali - Luca Castagnola Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Sahtali will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Castagnola will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Castagnola (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2 
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Preview
Sahtali is ranked ATP: 705. Castagnola is ranked ATP: 670.Both players have been playing unpredictably. In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win. The players have not played against each other recently.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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