Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Milan (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 June 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Pece D. (Ita)


	Tristan Lamasine		Elmer Moeller

	1	2
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.2	1.3
	3.35	1.28	Watch
	3.52	1.31
	3.52	1.32
	3	1.36	Watch
	4.06	1.22	Watch
	3.25	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↑ (2.56)	1.3 ↓ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tristan Lamasine
27.5%

Elmer Moeller
72.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

63.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

66.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tristan Lamasine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tristan Lamasine's form might have worsened.

Elmer Moeller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elmer Moeller's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristan Lamasine than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tristan Lamasine, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elmer Moeller than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elmer Moeller, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Tristan Lamasine - Elmer Moeller Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Lamasine will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Moeller will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Lamasine has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Moeller is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Moeller could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Moeller is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Moeller to win the game is with odds 1.32.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lamasine won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tristan Lamasine
ATP Challenger
19.06.24	Tristan Lamasine - Florent Bax	0:2 ✺
11.06.24	Tristan Lamasine - Quentin Halys	1:2 ✺
ATP Lyon
18.05.24	Tristan Lamasine - Harold Mayot	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.05.24	Oriol Roca Batalla - Tristan Lamasine	2:0 ✺
13.05.24	Tristan Lamasine - Felix Gill	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Elmer Moeller
ATP Challenger
19.06.24	Elmer Moeller - Federico Iannaccone	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.06.24	Elmer Moeller - August Holmgren	2:0 ✺
15.06.24	Elmer Moeller - Toby Martin	2:0 ✺
14.06.24	Elmer Moeller - Eric Vanshelboim	Vanshelboim E. retired ✺
13.06.24	Elmer Moeller - Jonas Trinker	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWW?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
11.04.24	Elmer Moeller - Tristan Lamasine	2:0

Tristan Lamasine - Elmer Moeller: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide