Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Idanha-a-Nova 2, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 August 2026, Friday


	Tristan McCormick		Goncalo Marques

	1	2
			Watch
	1.91	1.75
	1.96	1.75
	1.97	1.85
	1.98	1.72	Watch
	1.95	1.83
	1.94	1.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.07)	1.78 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tristan McCormick
47.6%

Goncalo Marques
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tristan McCormick has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Goncalo Marques has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristan McCormick than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Goncalo Marques than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Tristan McCormick - Goncalo Marques Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

McCormick is ranked ATP: 658. Marques is ranked ATP: 1035.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Marques will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tristan McCormick
ITF Tournaments
20.08.26	Tristan McCormick - Vasco Leote Prata	2:0 ✺
19.08.26	Tristan McCormick - Stefan Vujic	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Tristan McCormick - Philip Henning	0:2 ✺
14.08.26	Tristan McCormick - Tiago Pereira	2:1 ✺
13.08.26	Izan Almazan Valiente - Tristan McCormick	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WWLWW
- Goncalo Marques
ITF Tournaments
20.08.26	Goncalo Marques - Fabrizio Andaloro	2:0 ✺
19.08.26	Tiago Cacao - Goncalo Marques	0:2 ✺
15.08.26	Dan Added - Goncalo Marques	2:0 ✺
14.08.26	Robin Bertrand - Goncalo Marques	0:2 ✺
13.08.26	Andrea Colombo - Goncalo Marques	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWLWW

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