Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Newport, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 July 2025, Tuesday


	Tristan McCormick		James Watt

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.45	1.48	Watch
	2.4	1.51	Watch
	2.41	1.54
			Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.46	1.51	Watch
	1.86	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (1.86)	1.56 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tristan McCormick
40.1%

James Watt
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tristan McCormick has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tristan McCormick's form might have worsened.

James Watt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting James Watt's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristan McCormick than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tristan McCormick, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for James Watt than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for James Watt, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tristan McCormick - James Watt Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

McCormick is ranked ATP: 612. Watt is ranked ATP: 722.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

James Watt - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.27%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tristan McCormick
ATP Challenger
07.07.25	Tristan McCormick - Joshua Sheehy	2:1 ✺
06.07.25	Tristan McCormick - Blake Bayldon	2:1 ✺
29.06.25	Nick Chappell - Tristan McCormick	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.06.25	Tristan McCormick - Moerani Bouzige	0:2 ✺
12.06.25	Aryan Shah - Tristan McCormick	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWLLW
- James Watt
ATP Challenger
07.07.25	James Watt - Oscar Weightman	0:2 ✺
06.07.25	James Watt - Henry Barrett	2:0 ✺
29.06.25	James Watt - Antoine Ghibaudo	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
19.06.25	Aidan Mayo - James Watt	2:0 ✺
18.06.25	Ryan Dickerson - James Watt	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLLW

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