Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Rochester, NY, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 19 July 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Rochester 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Tristan McCormick		Jerrid Gaines Jr

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Tristan McCormick
59.4%

Jerrid Gaines Jr
40.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.1%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tristan McCormick has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tristan McCormick's performance.

Jerrid Gaines Jr has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jerrid Gaines Jr might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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McCormick is ranked ATP: 599. Gaines Jr is ranked ATP: 1658.

McCormick is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Gaines Jr may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

McCormick might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tristan McCormick
ITF Tournaments
17.07.26	Tristan McCormick - Benjamin Willwerth	2:0 ✺
16.07.26	Tristan McCormick - Sulaiman Syed	2:0 ✺
15.07.26	Tristan McCormick - Noah Johnston	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.07.26	Facundo Mena - Tristan McCormick	2:1 ✺
07.07.26	Tristan McCormick - Pedro Sakamoto	Sakamoto P. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWL?
- Jerrid Gaines Jr
ITF Tournaments
17.07.26	Axel Nefve - Jerrid Gaines Jr	0:2 ✺
16.07.26	Drew Fishback - Jerrid Gaines Jr	1:2 ✺
15.07.26	Jerrid Gaines Jr - Andrew Delgado	2:1 ✺
14.04.26	Jerrid Gaines Jr - Yannik Alvarez	0:2 ✺
09.04.26	Jack Kennedy - Jerrid Gaines Jr	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWLL

Tristan McCormick - Jerrid Gaines Jr