Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 25, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 June 2026, Tuesday


	Tuncay Duran		Mathys Picard

	1	2
	1.55	2.25
	1.54	2.32
	1.61	2.35
	1.52	2.34	Watch
	1.59	2.3
	1.55	2.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.37)	2.31 ↓ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tuncay Duran
59.7%

Mathys Picard
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.6%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tuncay Duran has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tuncay Duran's form might have worsened.

Mathys Picard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mathys Picard's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tuncay Duran than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tuncay Duran, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mathys Picard than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mathys Picard, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tuncay Duran - Mathys Picard Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Duran is ranked ATP: 722. Picard is ranked ATP: 1470.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Duran may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Duran could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tuncay Duran
ATP Challenger
05.06.26	Alexander Donski - Tuncay Duran	2:1 ✺
04.06.26	Alec Beckley - Tuncay Duran	0:2 ✺
02.06.26	Tuncay Duran - Stefano Napolitano	Napolitano S. Retired ✺
01.06.26	Tuncay Duran - Kris van Wyk	2:0 ✺
31.05.26	Tuncay Duran - Stefan Vujic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LW?WW
- Mathys Picard
ITF Tournaments
28.06.26	Mathys Picard - Roger Pascual Ferra	1:2 ✺
27.06.26	Lukas Pokorny - Mathys Picard	0:2 ✺
26.06.26	Dominick Mosejczuk - Mathys Picard	0:2 ✺
25.06.26	Mathys Picard - Isaac Becroft	2:1 ✺
24.06.26	Mathys Picard - Diego Fernandez Flores	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 LWWWW

Tuncay Duran - Mathys Picard: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide