Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Columbus, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 September 2025, Tuesday


	Tyler Zink		Alexander Bernard

	1	2
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.4	2.7
	1.27	3.25	Watch
	1.26	3.57	Watch
	1.31	3.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.4)	3.27 ↑ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tyler Zink
71.4%

Alexander Bernard
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tyler Zink has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tyler Zink's performance.

Alexander Bernard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexander Bernard might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tyler Zink than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tyler Zink that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Bernard than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexander Bernard could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tyler Zink - Alexander Bernard Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zink is ranked ATP: 358. Bernard is ranked ATP: 990.

The current form of both players is below expectations.

Bernard may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Zink could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Zink won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tyler Zink
ATP Challenger
08.09.25	Tyler Zink - Mitchell Krueger	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
19.08.25	Tyler Zink - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.08.25	Tyler Zink - Vladislav Melnic	Canceled ✺
ATP Cincinnati
05.08.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Tyler Zink	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.08.25	Tyler Zink - Kyle Kang	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LL?LL
- Alexander Bernard
ITF Tournaments
13.08.25	Blu Baker - Alexander Bernard	2:1 ✺
12.08.25	Alexander Bernard - Dakotah Bobo	2:0 ✺
30.07.25	Jacob Brumm - Alexander Bernard	2:0 ✺
23.07.25	Matthew Forbes - Alexander Bernard	2:0 ✺
20.07.25	Alexander Bernard - Andrew Delgado	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
21.07.24	Alexander Bernard - Tyler Zink	2:0
11.07.24	Alexander Bernard - Tyler Zink	1:2
13.07.22	Alexander Bernard - Tyler Zink	0:2

Tyler Zink - Alexander Bernard: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide