Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 August 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belgium	00:45	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia And Herzegovina	00:45	HBO Max
Bulgaria	01:45	HBO Max
Croatia	00:45	HBO Max
Czech Republic	00:45	HBO Max
Denmark	00:45	HBO Max
Finland	01:45	HBO Max
France	00:45	HBO Max
Hungary	00:45	HBO Max
Moldova	01:45	HBO Max
Montenegro	00:45	HBO Max
Netherlands	00:45	HBO Max
North Macedonia	00:45	HBO Max
Norway	00:45	HBO Max
Poland	00:45	HBO Max
Romania	01:45	HBO Max
Serbia	00:45	HBO Max
Slovenia	00:45	HBO Max
Spain	00:45	HBO Max
Sweden	00:45	HBO Max


	Tyler Zink		Rei Sakamoto

	1	2
	2.63	1.44
	2.6	1.45
	2.6	1.47
	2.69	1.48
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.62	1.44
	2.6	1.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (2.75)	1.46 ↑ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tyler Zink
35.6%

Rei Sakamoto
64.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.7%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

66.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tyler Zink has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Rei Sakamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tyler Zink than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Tyler Zink - Rei Sakamoto Predictions

Users Predictions: Rei Sakamoto will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Zink is ranked ATP: 328. Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 200.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Zink may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sakamoto could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tyler Zink
ATP Challenger
11.08.25	Tyler Zink - Vladislav Melnic	Canceled ✺
ATP Cincinnati
05.08.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Tyler Zink	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.08.25	Tyler Zink - Kyle Kang	0:2 ✺
31.07.25	Tyler Zink - Alexander Razeghi	2:1 ✺
30.07.25	Tyler Zink - Taha Baadi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 ?LLWW
- Rei Sakamoto
ATP Challenger
12.08.25	Kaylan Bigun - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
31.07.25	Rei Sakamoto - Eliot Spizzirri	Sakamoto R. retired ✺
29.07.25	Antoine Ghibaudo - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
22.07.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Rei Sakamoto	2:1 ✺
10.07.25	Alexander Blockx - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 L?WLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tyler Zink
ITF Tournaments
30.10.26	Tyler Zink - Johan Alexander Rodriguez	✺

Tyler Zink - Rei Sakamoto