Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sarasota, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday


	Tyler Zink		Colton Smith

	1	2
			Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.5	1.45	Watch
	2.55	1.56
	2.43	1.49	Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.42	1.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (2.9)	1.49 ↑ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tyler Zink
37.3%

Colton Smith
62.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

72.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tyler Zink has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tyler Zink's performance.

Colton Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Colton Smith might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tyler Zink than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tyler Zink that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colton Smith than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Colton Smith could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tyler Zink - Colton Smith Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Zink is ranked ATP: 321. Smith is ranked ATP: 164.

Zink is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Smith has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Smith may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Smith could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Zink won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tyler Zink
ITF Tournaments
25.03.26	Tyler Zink - Gavin Young	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.03.26	Michael Mmoh - Tyler Zink	2:1 ✺
20.03.26	Marc-Andrea Huesler - Tyler Zink	0:2 ✺
19.03.26	Tyler Zink - Miguel Tobon	2:1 ✺
17.03.26	Tyler Zink - Marc Polmans	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WLWWW
- Colton Smith
ATP Houston
30.03.26	Colton Smith - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
17.03.26	Zachary Svajda - Colton Smith	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
02.03.26	Colton Smith - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
14.02.26	Yibing Wu - Colton Smith	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.02.26	Borna Gojo - Colton Smith	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Washington
20.07.25	Colton Smith - Tyler Zink	2:1
ITF Tournaments
13.07.24	Colton Smith - Tyler Zink	2:1

Tyler Zink - Colton Smith: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide