Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Houston, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 March 2026, Monday


	Colton Smith		Thiago Augustin Tirante

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.6	1.49	Watch
	2.77	1.5
	2.62	1.47	Watch
	2.6	1.5
	2.53	1.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.21)	1.5 ↓ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colton Smith
36.4%

Thiago Augustin Tirante
63.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

55.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colton Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Colton Smith's form might have worsened.

Thiago Augustin Tirante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thiago Augustin Tirante's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colton Smith than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Colton Smith, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thiago Augustin Tirante, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Colton Smith - Thiago Augustin Tirante Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Smith will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tirante will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tirante: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tirante (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Smith is ranked ATP: 162. Tirante is ranked ATP: 81.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Smith may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tirante might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Colton Smith - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 42.3%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Thiago Augustin Tirante - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 57.7%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colton Smith
ATP Miami
17.03.26	Zachary Svajda - Colton Smith	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
02.03.26	Colton Smith - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
14.02.26	Yibing Wu - Colton Smith	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.02.26	Borna Gojo - Colton Smith	0:2 ✺
07.02.26	Keegan Smith - Colton Smith	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLLWW
- Thiago Augustin Tirante
ATP Challenger
24.03.26	Gonzalo Bueno - Thiago Augustin Tirante	Canceled ✺
ATP Miami
21.03.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0 ✺
20.03.26	Valentin Royer - Thiago Augustin Tirante	1:2 ✺
17.03.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Martin Landaluce	1:2 ✺
16.03.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Diego Dedura-Palomero	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 ?LWLW

Colton Smith - Thiago Augustin Tirante: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide