Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Morelos, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday


	Tyler Zink		Marc Polmans

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.73	1.99	Watch
	1.83	2.06
	1.74	1.97	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.76	1.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.51)	1.99 ↑ (1.47)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tyler Zink
53.2%

Marc Polmans
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

63.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tyler Zink has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tyler Zink's performance.

Marc Polmans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marc Polmans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tyler Zink than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tyler Zink that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marc Polmans than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marc Polmans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tyler Zink - Marc Polmans Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zink is ranked ATP: 328. Polmans is ranked ATP: 367.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Zink may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tyler Zink
ITF Tournaments
13.03.26	Tyler Zink - Daniel De Jonge	1:2 ✺
12.03.26	Tyler Zink - Oren Vasser	Vasser O. retired ✺
11.03.26	Tyler Zink - Tsz Fu Wong	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.02.26	Tyler Zink - Braden Shick	0:2 ✺
10.02.26	Tyler Zink - Arda Azkara	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 L?WLW
- Marc Polmans
ATP Challenger
10.03.26	Stefan Kozlov - Marc Polmans	2:1 ✺
09.03.26	Shu Matsuoka - Marc Polmans	0:2 ✺
10.02.26	Marc Polmans - Hayato Matsuoka	1:2 ✺
09.02.26	Tristan Schoolkate - Marc Polmans	Canceled ✺
09.02.26	Jamie Mackenzie - Marc Polmans	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWL?W

Tyler Zink - Marc Polmans: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide