Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brisbane 2, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 February 2026, Tuesday


	Marc Polmans		Hayato Matsuoka

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2.05	Watch
	1.75	2.15
	1.7	2.03	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2.01	Watch
	1.66	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.56)	2.08 ↓ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marc Polmans
55.1%

Hayato Matsuoka
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marc Polmans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Hayato Matsuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marc Polmans than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marc Polmans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hayato Matsuoka than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hayato Matsuoka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Marc Polmans - Hayato Matsuoka Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Polmans will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Matsuoka will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Polmans (votes: 1 - 50%). Matsuoka (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Polmans is ranked ATP: 383. Matsuoka is ranked ATP: 405.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Polmans may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Polmans won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marc Polmans
ATP Challenger
09.02.26	Tristan Schoolkate - Marc Polmans	Canceled ✺
09.02.26	Jamie Mackenzie - Marc Polmans	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
12.01.26	Elmer Moller - Marc Polmans	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.01.26	Marc Polmans - Jack Pinnington Jones	1:2 ✺
03.01.26	Alex Bolt - Marc Polmans	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 ?WLLW
- Hayato Matsuoka
ATP Challenger
08.02.26	Hayato Matsuoka - Jake Delaney	2:0 ✺
02.02.26	Cruz Hewitt - Hayato Matsuoka	2:0 ✺
26.01.26	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Hayato Matsuoka	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Hayato Matsuoka - Matthew Dellavedova	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Hayato Matsuoka - Uisung Park	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
24.11.25	Hayato Matsuoka - Marc Polmans	1:2

Marc Polmans - Hayato Matsuoka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide