Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phoenix - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday


	Stefan Kozlov		Marc Polmans

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.46	2.55
	1.48	2.72
	1.48	2.51	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.45	2.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.71)	2.57 ↑ (2.03)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefan Kozlov
63.5%

Marc Polmans
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefan Kozlov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stefan Kozlov's performance.

Marc Polmans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marc Polmans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefan Kozlov than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stefan Kozlov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marc Polmans than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marc Polmans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Stefan Kozlov - Marc Polmans Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kozlov will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Polmans will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kozlov is ranked ATP: 270. Polmans is ranked ATP: 367.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Kozlov will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefan Kozlov
ATP Challenger
09.03.26	Stefan Kozlov - Nathan Ponwith	2:0 ✺
ATP Acapulco
21.02.26	Patrick Kypson - Stefan Kozlov	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.02.26	Stefan Kozlov - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	0:2 ✺
18.02.26	Stefan Kozlov - Karl Poling	2:0 ✺
16.02.26	Stefan Kozlov - Tristan McCormick	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLWW
- Marc Polmans
ATP Challenger
09.03.26	Shu Matsuoka - Marc Polmans	0:2 ✺
10.02.26	Marc Polmans - Hayato Matsuoka	1:2 ✺
09.02.26	Tristan Schoolkate - Marc Polmans	Canceled ✺
09.02.26	Jamie Mackenzie - Marc Polmans	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
12.01.26	Elmer Moller - Marc Polmans	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WL?WL

Stefan Kozlov - Marc Polmans: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide