Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Manama, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Manama 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Ugo Blanchet		Luca Nardi

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.15	1.6	Watch
	2.31	1.66
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.18	1.61	Watch
	2.2	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (1.97)	1.61 ↓ (1.75)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ugo Blanchet
42.2%

Luca Nardi
57.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47%

53%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ugo Blanchet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Luca Nardi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ugo Blanchet than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Ugo Blanchet - Luca Nardi Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Blanchet will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Nardi will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Blanchet (votes: 2 - 40%). Nardi (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Nardi (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Blanchet (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Nardi (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Blanchet is ranked ATP: 142. Nardi is ranked ATP: 108.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Nardi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Nardi could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Blanchet won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Ugo Blanchet - the odds 1.97 are the expected chance of winning is 47.05%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ugo Blanchet
ATP Challenger
29.01.26	Ugo Blanchet - Hugo Grenier	2:0 ✺
28.01.26	Alexei Popyrin - Ugo Blanchet	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
12.01.26	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Ugo Blanchet	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.01.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Ugo Blanchet	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	Ugo Blanchet - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWLLW
- Luca Nardi
ATP Challenger
29.01.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
28.01.26	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
19.01.26	Luca Nardi - Yibing Wu	1:3 ✺
ATP Adelaide
10.01.26	Luca Nardi - Aleksandar Vukic	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.01.26	Chris Rodesch - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
02.02.25	Luca Nardi - Ugo Blanchet	1:2
12.11.24	Ugo Blanchet - Luca Nardi	2:0

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