Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: DOHA (QATAR), HARD - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 22 February 2024, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2, Premier Sport 3
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	Eurosport 2
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra
Romania	Prima Sport 2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Ugo Humbert		Gael Monfils

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.36	3.1	Watch
	1.35	3.1	Watch
	1.4	3.22
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.38	3.08	Watch
	1.38	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.67)	3.11 ↑ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ugo Humbert
69.3%

Gael Monfils
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ugo Humbert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ugo Humbert's performance.

Gael Monfils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gael Monfils might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ugo Humbert than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ugo Humbert that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gael Monfils than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gael Monfils could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	0%	13.3%

Ugo Humbert - Gael Monfils Predictions

Users Predictions: Ugo Humbert will win (39 of 45 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.74% – 96.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Humbert is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Monfils is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Humbert could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Humbert will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Humbert won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ugo Humbert
ATP Doha
21.02.24	Ugo Humbert - Pavel Kotov	2:0 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
14.02.24	Emil Ruusuvuori - Ugo Humbert	2:1 ✺
ATP Marseille
11.02.24	Ugo Humbert - Grigor Dimitrov	2:0 ✺
10.02.24	Hubert Hurkacz - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
09.02.24	Ugo Humbert - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WLWWW
- Gael Monfils
ATP Doha
21.02.24	Gael Monfils - Zhizhen Zhang	2:1 ✺
20.02.24	Gael Monfils - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:0 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
15.02.24	Jannik Sinner - Gael Monfils	2:1 ✺
14.02.24	Denis Shapovalov - Gael Monfils	0:2 ✺
ATP Montpellier
31.01.24	Flavio Cobolli - Gael Monfils	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Miami
22.03.23	Ugo Humbert - Gael Monfils	Monfils G. retired
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.19	Ugo Humbert - Gael Monfils	Humbert U. retired
ATP Auckland
08.01.19	Gael Monfils - Ugo Humbert	Canceled

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