Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: DUBAI (UNITED ARAB EMIRATES), HARD - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 29 February 2024, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 3
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Hubert Hurkacz		Ugo Humbert

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.75	2.05	Watch
	1.72	2.1	Watch
	1.78	2.16
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.74	2.11	Watch
	1.75	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.51)	2.11 ↓ (2.32)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hubert Hurkacz
54.7%

Ugo Humbert
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hubert Hurkacz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hubert Hurkacz's form might have worsened.

Ugo Humbert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ugo Humbert's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hubert Hurkacz than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hubert Hurkacz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ugo Humbert than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ugo Humbert, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
48.4%	0%	51.6%

Hubert Hurkacz - Ugo Humbert Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Hurkacz will win (votes: 15 - 48.4%). Humbert will win (votes: 16 - 51.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Humbert: 34% – 69.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Humbert could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Hurkacz won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hubert Hurkacz
ATP Dubai
28.02.24	Hubert Hurkacz - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
26.02.24	Hubert Hurkacz - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:1 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
15.02.24	Hubert Hurkacz - Tallon Griekspoor	1:2 ✺
13.02.24	Hubert Hurkacz - Jiri Lehecka	2:1 ✺
ATP Marseille
10.02.24	Hubert Hurkacz - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWLWL
- Ugo Humbert
ATP Dubai
28.02.24	Andy Murray - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
27.02.24	Gael Monfils - Ugo Humbert	1:2 ✺
ATP Doha
22.02.24	Ugo Humbert - Gael Monfils	0:2 ✺
21.02.24	Ugo Humbert - Pavel Kotov	2:0 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
14.02.24	Emil Ruusuvuori - Ugo Humbert	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Marseille
10.02.24	Hubert Hurkacz - Ugo Humbert	0:2
ATP Australian Open
19.01.24	Ugo Humbert - Hubert Hurkacz	1:3
ATP Basel
28.10.23	Hubert Hurkacz - Ugo Humbert	2:1
ATP Halle
15.06.22	Hubert Hurkacz - Ugo Humbert	2:0

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