Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Davis Cup - World Group (World) - Qualification

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday


	Ugo Humbert		Joao Fonseca

	1	2
			Watch
	1.7	2.1
	1.7	2.12
	1.69	2.21
	1.68	2.13
	1.73	2.1
	1.67	2.12	Watch
	1.7	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.61)	2.13 ↓ (2.27)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ugo Humbert
55.7%

Joao Fonseca
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ugo Humbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Joao Fonseca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ugo Humbert than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Ugo Humbert - Joao Fonseca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Humbert is ranked ATP: 15. Fonseca is ranked ATP: 99.

Recent matches Humbert is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fonseca is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Humbert could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Humbert will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Ugo Humbert - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 58.51%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ugo Humbert
ATP Australian Open
19.01.25	Ugo Humbert - Alexander Zverev	1:3 ✺
17.01.25	Ugo Humbert - Arthur Fils	Fils A. retired ✺
15.01.25	Ugo Humbert - Hady Habib	3:0 ✺
12.01.25	Ugo Humbert - Matteo Gigante	3:0 ✺
ATP United Cup
30.12.24	Flavio Cobolli - Ugo Humbert	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 L?WWL
- Joao Fonseca
ATP Australian Open
16.01.25	Joao Fonseca - Lorenzo Sonego	2:3 ✺
14.01.25	Andrey Rublev - Joao Fonseca	0:3 ✺
08.01.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
08.01.25	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
07.01.25	Joao Fonseca - Federico Agustin Gomez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWWW

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