Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open (Australia), hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 16 January 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bulgaria	08:05	Max
Croatia	07:05	Max
Czech Republic	07:05	Max
Denmark	07:05	Max
Finland	08:05	Max
France	07:05	Max
Germany	07:05	Discovery+
Hungary	07:05	Max
Italy	07:05	Discovery+
Norway	07:05	MAX
Poland	07:05	Max
Romania	08:05	Max
Slovenia	07:05	Max
Sweden	07:05	Max
United Kingdom	06:05	Discovery+ UK


	Joao Fonseca		Lorenzo Sonego

	1	2
	1.17	5	Watch
	1.22	4.75
	1.19	4.7	Watch
	1.23	4.19
	1.2	4.5
	1.24	4.54	Watch
	1.19	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.25)	4.63 ↑ (4)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joao Fonseca
79.3%

Lorenzo Sonego
20.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

76.2%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Fonseca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Lorenzo Sonego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.1%	0%	38.9%

Joao Fonseca - Lorenzo Sonego Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Fonseca will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). Sonego will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fonseca: 38.6% – 83.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Fonseca is ranked ATP: 112. Sonego is ranked ATP: 55.

Fonseca in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Sonego is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fonseca could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Fonseca is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Fonseca won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Fonseca
ATP Australian Open
14.01.25	Andrey Rublev - Joao Fonseca	0:3 ✺
08.01.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
08.01.25	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
07.01.25	Joao Fonseca - Federico Agustin Gomez	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.01.25	Ethan Quinn - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWWW
- Lorenzo Sonego
ATP Australian Open
14.01.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Stanislas Wawrinka	3:1 ✺
ATP Auckland
07.01.25	Alex Michelsen - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0 ✺
06.01.25	Gabriel Diallo - Lorenzo Sonego	1:2 ✺
ATP Hong Kong
01.01.25	Cameron Norrie - Lorenzo Sonego	2:1 ✺
30.12.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Bucharest
16.04.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Joao Fonseca	0:2

Joao Fonseca - Lorenzo Sonego